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2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election

The 2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 United States presidential election, U.S. House election, statewide judicial election, Council of State election and various local elections.

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2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election

November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
Turnout67.30%
 
Nominee Pat McCrory Walter H. Dalton
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,440,707 1,931,580
Percentage 54.62% 43.23%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
McCrory:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Dalton:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%

Governor before election

Bev Perdue
Democratic

Elected Governor

Pat McCrory
Republican

The 2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 United States presidential election, U.S. House election, statewide judicial election, Council of State election and various local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Bev Perdue was eligible to run for re-election, but announced on January 26, 2012 that she would not seek a second term. Incumbent lieutenant governor Walter H. Dalton won the Democratic nomination, while former mayor of Charlotte and 2008 gubernatorial nominee Pat McCrory won the Republican nomination. McCrory won the election with almost 55 percent of the vote to Dalton's 43 percent, the largest margin of victory for a Republican in a race for governor in history, surpassing the previous record set in 1868.

Libertarian nominee Barbara Howe took 2% of the vote. When McCrory was inaugurated as the 74th governor of North Carolina on January 5, 2013,1 he became the state's first Republican governor since 1993 and the Republicans held complete control of state government for the first time since 1871. As of 2026, this is the last time a Republican was elected Governor of North Carolina, and the only time since 1988. It was also the last time the state concurrently voted for a gubernatorial and presidential candidate of the same party, and the last time a Republican candidate won Mecklenburg County in a statewide election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bruce
Blackmon
Walter H.
Dalton
Gary
Dunn
Bob
Etheridge
Bill
Faison
Gardenia
Henley
Undecided
Public Policy Polling22 May 5–6, 2012 500 ± 3.1% 2% 34% 4% 29% 4% 4% 24%
Survey USA23 April 26–30, 2012 560 ± 4.2% 2% 32% 5% 23% 5% 3% 30%
Public Policy Polling24 April 27–29, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 3% 36% 2% 26% 5% 3% 25%
Civitas/Survey USA25 April 20–23, 2012 448 ± 4.7% 3% 32% 3% 27% 4% 2% 27%
Public Policy Polling26 April 20–22, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 4% 26% 4% 25% 5% 2% 35%
Public Policy Polling27 March 23–25, 2012 505 ± 4.4% 5% 15% 4% 26% 3% 2% 45%
Public Policy Polling28 February 29 – March 1, 2012 499 ± 4.4% 5% 19% 2% 26% 2% 4% 41%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dan
Blue
Walter H.
Dalton
Bob
Etheridge
Bill
Faison
Mike
McIntyre
Brad
Miller
Richard
Moore
Undecided
Public Policy Polling29 February 3–5, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 13% 10% 21% 2% 6% 8% 7% 33%
11% 20% 24% 4% 41%
22% 25% 6% 7% 40%
20% 24% 4% 11% 41%
21% 24% 5% 8% 41%
24% 30% 6% 39%

Debates

A series of televised debates between candidates Dalton, Etheridge and Faison, held April 16–18, was considered potentially pivotal, since "the governor’s race has so far attracted little attention, created little buzz and produced few political commercials" and "polls suggest there is still a large swath of Democratic voters who have yet to decide" for whom to vote.30 The first debate, conducted by WRAL-TV and broadcast statewide, featured few differences between the candidates, but Faison was seen as the aggressor.31 The second debate (conducted by UNC-TV) was more contentious, with Dalton criticizing Etheridge's support of a free trade agreement while he was in Congress, and Etheridge attacking Dalton over his attendance record on boards and commissions and his alleged failure to speak out against the actions of the majority-Republican legislature.32 In the final debate of the series, this one conducted by WNCN-TV and the North Carolina League of Women Voters, candidates were considered to be more "muted" in their criticisms of each other. All three spoke out strongly against a voter ID bill proposed by Republicans in the state legislature. Dalton emphasized modernizing the state's economy, Etheridge continued his themes of leadership and education, and Faison most sharply attacked Republicans and called for action on the state's unemployment problem.33

Results

Primary results by county:
Dalton
  •   Dalton—81–90%
  •   Dalton—71–80%
  •   Dalton—61–70%
  •   Dalton—51–60%
  •   Dalton—41–50%
  •   Dalton—31–40%
Etheridge
  •   Etheridge—61–70%
  •   Etheridge—51–60%
  •   Etheridge—41–50%
  •   Etheridge—31–40%
Faison
  •   Faison—41–50%
source ↗
Democratic primary results34
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Walter H. Dalton 425,618 45.8
Democratic Bob Etheridge 353,209 38.0
Democratic Bill Faison 51,759 5.6
Democratic Gardenia Henley 48,402 5.2
Democratic Gary M. Dunn 27,163 2.9
Democratic Bruce Blackmon 22,158 2.4
Total votes 928,309 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Jim Harney, businessman35
  • Scott Jones, businessman36
  • Jim Mahan, small businessman and former teacher37
  • Pat McCrory, former mayor of Charlotte and nominee for governor in 200838
  • Charles Kenneth Moss, businessman and preacher3940
  • Paul Wright, attorney and former District Court and Superior Court judge39

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Harney
Scott
Jones
Jim
Mahan
Pat
McCrory
Charles
Moss
Paul
Wright
Undecided
Public Policy Polling22 May 5–6, 2012 496 ± 4.4% 2% 3% 2% 70% 1% 2% 20%
Survey USA23 April 26–30, 2012 451 ± 4.5% 3% 3% 2% 65% 3% 2% 21%
Public Policy Polling46 April 27–29, 2012 486 ± 4.4% 4% 2% 2% 66% 0% 2% 24%
Public Policy Polling47 April 20–22, 2012 521 ± 4.3% 3% 1% 2% 67% 1% 2% 23%
Public Policy Polling48 March 22–25, 2012 561 ± 4.1% 2% 1% 3% 64% 2% 0% 28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
McCrory
Someone more
conservative
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling49 September 1–4, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 40% 46% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Berger
Cherie
Berry
Tom
Fetzer
Virginia
Foxx
Pat
McCrory
Patrick
McHenry
Sue
Myrick
Fred
Smith
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling50 November 19–21, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 2% 3% 12% 11% 37% 3% 6% 4% 22%

Results

Republican primary results34
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat McCrory 744,226 83.4
Republican Paul Wright 46,986 5.3
Republican Scott Jones 30,884 3.5
Republican Jim Mahan 29,794 3.3
Republican Jim Harney 26,242 2.9
Republican Charles Kenneth Moss 13,696 1.5
Total votes 891,828 100.0

General election

Candidates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report52 Lean R (flip) November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball53 Likely R (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report54 Likely R (flip) November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics55 Likely R (flip) November 5, 2012

Debates

Dalton and McCrory met for their first televised debate at the studios of UNC-TV on October 3, 2012. Two debates were sponsored by the North Carolina Association of Broadcasters Educational Foundation, with the third and final debate sponsored by WRAL-TV and the Rocky Mount Chamber of Commerce. Howe was not invited to participate in any of the scheduled debates. The Associated Press characterized Dalton as going "on the offensive" against McCrory in the first debate.56 The final encounter between the two candidates, held Oct. 24 on the campus of North Carolina Wesleyan College, featured "more subdued disagreements over taxes, education, health care and mental health."57

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Walter H.
Dalton (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Barbara
Howe (L)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling58 November 3–4, 2012 926 ± 3.2% 43% 50% 4% 3%
Public Policy Polling59 October 29–31, 2012 730 ± 3.6% 39% 50% 4% 7%
WRAL News/SurveyUSA60 October 26–29, 2012 682 ± 3.8% 36% 53% 11%
Elon University61 October 21–26, 2012 1,238 ± 2.8% 38% 52% 2% 8%
Rasmussen Reports62 October 25, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 35% 54% 1% 10%
Public Policy Polling63 October 23–25, 2012 880 ± 3.3% 37% 50% 5% 8%
Rasmussen Reports62 October 17, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 42% 53% 4%
Public Policy Polling64 October 12–14, 2012 1,084 ± 3% 37% 47% 5% 11%
Rasmussen Reports65 October 9, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 38% 52% 10%
Gravis Marketing66 October 6–8, 2012 1,325 ± 2.9% 33% 50% 17%
Rasmussen Reports67 October 2, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 38% 54% 1% 7%
Survey USA68 September 29 – October 1, 2012 573 ± 4.2% 39% 51% 3% 7%
Public Policy Polling69 September 27–30, 2012 981 ± 3.1% 37% 47% 5% 10%
WSJ/NBC News/Marist70 September 23–25, 2012 1,035 ± 3.4% 39% 52% 8%
Civitas71 September 18–19, 2012 600 ± 4% 38% 49% 3% 10%
Rasmussen Reports62 September 13, 2012 500 ± 3.4% 38% 51% 1% 10%
Survey USA/Civitas72 September 4–6, 2012 500 ± 3.4% 39% 55% 4% 29%
Public Policy Polling73 August 31 – September 2, 2012 1,012 ± 3.4% 39% 45% 5% 10%
Elon Univ./Charlotte Observer74 August 25–30, 2012 1,089 ± 3.4% 37% 52% 11%
Public Policy Polling75 August 2–5, 2012 813 ± 3.4% 38% 45% 7% 11%
Rasmussen Reports62 July 27, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 41% 46% 3% 10%
Civitas76 July 16–18, 2012 600 ± 4% 37% 47% 6% 4%
Public Policy Polling77 July 5–8, 2012 775 ± 3.5% 36% 43% 9% 12%
Survey USA78 June 29 – July 1, 2012 558 ± 4.2% 44% 46% 7% 3%
Rasmussen Reports62 June 25, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 35% 49% 4% 12%
NBC News/Marist79 June 24–25, 2012 1,019 ± 3.1% 41% 43% 17%
Public Policy Polling80 June 7–10, 2012 810 ± 3.4% 40% 47% 13%
Survey USA81 May 18–21, 2012 524 ± 4.4% 39% 44% 7% 10%
Civitas82 May 19–20, 2012 600 ± 4% 38% 48% 12%
Rasmussen Reports62 May 14, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 41% 50% 1% 8%
Public Policy Polling83 May 10–13, 2012 666 ± 3.8% 40% 46% 13%
Rasmussen Reports62 April 10, 2012 500 ± 4.5% 36% 45% 5% 14%
Public Policy Polling84 March 8–11, 2012 804 ± 3.5% 35% 46% 19%
Civitas85 February 27–28, 2012 600 ± 4% 29% 49% 22%
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 35% 50% 15%
Public Policy Polling87 September 30 – October 3, 2011 760 ± 3.6% 32% 46% 23%
Public Policy Polling88 March 17–20, 2011 584 ± 4.1% 27% 47% 26%
Hypothetical polling

Democratic primary polling with Perdue

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Faison
Bev
Perdue
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling89 December 1–4, 2011 392 ± 5.0% 23% 55% 23%
Public Policy Polling87 September 30 – October 3, 2011 353 ± 3.6% 18% 62% 20%

Republican primary with Ellmers, Troxler

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Renee
Ellmers
Pat
McCrory
Steve
Troxler
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling49 September 1–4, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 10% 61% 29%
51% 15% 34%
10% 52% 19% 19%

General election polling
With Blue

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dan
Blue (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 31% 49% 19%
Public Policy Polling88 March 17–20, 2011 584 ± 4.1% 28% 48% 16%

With Blackmon

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bruce
Blackmon (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling84 March 8–11, 2012 804 ± 3.5% 33% 48% 18%

With Bowles

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Erskine
Bowles (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 42% 44% 14%
Public Policy Polling87 September 30 – October 3, 2011 760 ± 3.6% 42% 42% 16%

With Cooper

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Roy
Cooper (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling87 September 30 – October 3, 2011 760 ± 3.6% 39% 42% 19%
Public Policy Polling88 March 17–20, 2011 584 ± 4.1% 35% 43% 22%

With Foxx

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Anthony
Foxx (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 32% 50% 18%

With Etheridge

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Etheridge (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling84 March 8–11, 2012 804 ± 3.5% 36% 46% 18%
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 35% 50% 16%

With Faison

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Faison (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 31% 50% 19%
Public Policy Polling90 January 5–8, 2012 780 ± 3.5% 27% 47% 26%
Public Policy Polling89 December 1–4, 2011 865 ± 3.3% 26% 47% 26%
Public Policy Polling87 September 30 – October 3, 2011 760 ± 3.6% 30% 45% 25%

With Henley

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gardenia
Henley (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling84 March 8–11, 2012 804 ± 3.5% 29% 49% 22%

With Hagan

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kay
Hagan (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 41% 48% 11%

With Joines

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allan
Joines (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 30% 50% 21%

With McIntyre

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
McIntyre (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 30% 50% 20%

With Meeker

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charles
Meeker (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 29% 49% 22%

With Miller

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brad
Miller (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 35% 49% 16%

With Moore

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Moore (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 36% 47% 17%

With Perdue

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bev
Perdue (D)
Renee
Ellmers (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling91 September 1–4, 2011 520 ± 4.3% 45% 35% 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bev
Perdue (D)
Tom
Fetzer (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling92 November 19–21, 2010 517 ± 4.3% 40% 42% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bev
Perdue (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling90 January 5–8, 2012 780 ± 3.5% 41% 52% 7%
Public Policy Polling89 December 1–4, 2011 865 ± 3.3% 40% 50% 10%
Public Policy Polling93 October 27–31, 2011 615 ± 4.0% 39% 48% 13%
Public Policy Polling87 September 30 – October 3, 2011 760 ± 3.6% 42% 47% 10%
Public Policy Polling91 September 1–4, 2011 520 ± 4.3% 41% 45% 14%
Public Policy Polling94 August 4–7, 2011 780 ± 3.5% 39% 47% 14%
Civitas Institute95 July 12–13, 2011 600 ± 4.0% 35% 55% 8%
Public Policy Polling96 July 7–10, 2011 651 ± 3.8% 39% 47% 14%
Public Policy Polling97 June 8–11, 2011 563 ± 4.1% 39% 45% 16%
Public Policy Polling98 May 12–15, 2011 835 ± 3.4% 39% 46% 15%
Public Policy Polling99 April 14–17, 2011 507 ± 4.4% 38% 49% 13%
Survey USA100 April 14–15, 2011 500 ± 4.5% 39% 51% 5% 4%
Public Policy Polling88 March 17–20, 2011 584 ± 4.1% 36% 50% 14%
Public Policy Polling101 February 16–21, 2011 650 ± 3.8% 37% 49% 15%
Public Policy Polling102 January 20–23, 2011 575 ± 4.1% 40% 47% 14%
Civitas Institute103 December 15–16, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 36% 51% 12%
Public Policy Polling92 November 19–21, 2010 517 ± 4.3% 37% 49% 14%
Civitas Institute104 June 15–18, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 37% 46% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bev
Perdue (D)
Steve
Troxler (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling91 September 1–4, 2011 520 ± 4.3% 42% 37% 22%

With Shuler

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Heath
Shuler (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling86 January 27–29, 2012 554 ± 4.2% 31% 48% 21%

Results

Pat McCrory celebrating his election victory source ↗
2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election105
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Pat McCrory 2,440,707 54.62% +7.74%
Democratic Walter H. Dalton 1,931,580 43.23% −7.04%
Libertarian Barbara Howe 94,652 2.12% −0.73%
Write-in 1,356 0.03% N/A
Total votes 4,468,295 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

McCrory won ten of the state's 13 congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.106

District McCrory Dalton Representative
1st 29.35% 69.26% G. K. Butterfield
2nd 60.13% 37.63% Renee Ellmers
3rd 59.34% 38.22% Walter B. Jones Jr.
4th 31.29% 65.74% David Price
5th 63.66% 34.12% Virginia Foxx
6th 61.21% 36.51% Howard Coble
7th 61.37% 36.63% Mike McIntyre
8th 62.7% 35.59% Larry Kissell
Richard Hudson
9th 67.81% 30.47% Sue Myrick
Robert Pittenger
10th 61.68% 36.3% Patrick McHenry
11th 63.14% 34.18% Heath Shuler
Mark Meadows
12th 26.85% 71.37% Mel Watt
13th 59.34% 38.49% Brad Miller
George Holding
See also

See also

References

References

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  81. Survey USA
  82. Civitas
  83. Public Policy Polling
  84. Public Policy Polling
  85. Civitas
  86. Public Policy Polling
  87. Public Policy Polling
  88. Public Policy Polling
  89. Public Policy Polling
  90. Public Policy Polling
  91. Public Policy Polling
  92. Public Policy Polling
  93. Public Policy Polling
  94. Public Policy Polling
  95. Civitas Institute
  96. Public Policy Polling
  97. Public Policy Polling
  98. Public Policy Polling
  99. Public Policy Polling
  100. Survey USA
  101. Public Policy Polling
  102. Public Policy Polling
  103. Civitas Institute
  104. Civitas Institute
  105. "NC SBE Contest Results".
  106. "North carolina 2012 gov-by-cd".
External links

Official campaign websites